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Shelter at the IDP camp in Myaing Gyi Ngu, Kayin State

Myanmar (or Burma) is the largest country in mainland Southeast Asia and also one of the least densely populated. Ethnic minority communities make up about one-third of the population and are concentrated in the often remote and mountainous areas along the borders with Thailand, Laos, China, India and Bangladesh. The majority Bamar community live predominantly in the lowlands. The borderlands have experienced a long history of civil war between Bamar-dominated central governments and Ethnic Armed Organisations, which have struggled for greater autonomy. In addition, the country has endured military rule on a number of occasions – most recently since 1 February 2021. The 2021 military coup brought to an end to 10 years of semi-civilian rule.

Until the military coup, Myanmar was in certain respects a nation in transition, with some groups seeking to break with the country’s past of authoritarian rule, economic mismanagement and ethnic conflicts. Some progress had been made, with rapid (though unequal) economic growth and improvements in social welfare. For example, income poverty almost halved between 2005 and 2017. However, the reform momentum slowed after 2016, with the National League for Democracy (NLD)-elected government struggling to define its economic vision and manage public administration. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the military coup, Myanmar’s economy is now expected to decline sharply, threatening to reverse Myanmar’s recent socio-economic progress. Displaced communities will be severely affected by economic disruptions related to the military coup and COVID-19.

Research will take place in Karen and Mon communities across southeast Myanmar, including in ceasefire areas, and in partnership with local civil society organisations. Protracted conflicts have resulted in significant displacement of Karen, Mon and other communities. At least half a million people have been internally displaced, and there are still over a hundred thousand refugees in neighbouring Thailand. In addition to conflict-induced displacement, southeast Myanmar has also a long history of development-induced displacement, including land-grabbing for large-scale agricultural investments and infrastructure projects such as hydropower dams. The deadly suppression of democratic forces by the military since 1 February 2021 has caused a new wave of forced migration, with around 30,000 Karen newly internally displaced since the coup.